The path to business success is typically counterintuitive - what seems like it will work probably won't, and what will work wouldn't be guessed in a million years
Eben Pagan calls this 'the critical counterintuitive' after studying success for over 15 years and observing that obvious paths rarely lead to business success
Tens of billions of dollars are spent annually on consumer research by corporations because making mistakes with big bets is expensive - small businesses can't afford mistakes even more
Large multinational companies spend tens of billions yearly on focus groups and consumer research, and if big businesses can't afford mistakes, small businesses especially cannot
The commitment and consistency principle causes humans to adjust their self-image to fit their actions, making entrepreneurs more convinced and blind to failure the longer they work on untested projects
Robert Cialdini's book 'Influence' explains this psychological principle, and Eben notes that most spectacular business failures occur when people become convinced without testing
The mindset 'everything is a test' prevents dangerous overconfidence and encourages fast, efficient testing to get real-world feedback
This mindset comes from Jay Abraham, and Eben emphasizes that when you're convinced something will work, that's when you're in danger
A 7-step niche testing sequence starts with keyword research and traffic analysis, progresses through surveys and consultations, and ends with full product launch only after validation
Eben's sequence: 1) Google keyword tool and Alexa/Compete traffic analysis, 2) Interview target audience, 3) Online surveys, 4) Free teleclasses, 5) Training delivery, 6) Live consultations, 7) Product launch
TeachingEmpowering▶ 11:31 In-person consultations and online surveys are the two most powerful niche validation techniques, allowing deep drilling into customer fears, frustrations, wants, and desires
Eben personally uses these as his primary validation methods, noting that people serious about solving problems will tell you anything when asked direct questions
TeachingEmpowering▶ 12:04 When interviewing prospects, start with superficial questions to build comfort, then ask direct questions about fears and frustrations - serious prospects will tell you anything
Eben gives the weight loss example: ask 'how long have you been trying to lose weight?' then progress to 'what's your biggest fear/frustration about losing weight?' Most people are afraid to ask direct questions but shouldn't be
TeachingEmpowering▶ 13:22 Simple online surveys can be created using free WordPress blogs or SurveyMonkey, with survey bait like free reports or teleclasses dramatically increasing response rates
Eben's team does this 60-80% of the time using WordPress.com free blogs, and he's tested offering rewards vs not offering them, always getting better response with survey bait
TeachingEmpowering▶ 14:13 Use social media connections, forums, and list owners for survey distribution, offering free training in exchange for survey participation and list access
Target Facebook friends, Twitter followers, LinkedIn connections, online forums, and approach list owners offering 30-60 minute free teleclasses in exchange for survey promotion to their audiences
TeachingEmpowering▶ 16:57 Chain validation methods together: start social media discussions, direct to blog surveys, offer free teleclass tickets for participation, then deliver training via freeconferencecall.com
Eben's company uses freeconferencecall.com regularly, which provides free conference lines and automatic recording of calls for later use